Why Salesforce CRM stock is falling despite a $25B buyback

Why Salesforce CRM stock is falling despite a $25B buyback

Salesforce is doing a lot of things right on paper — and yet the stock keeps sliding.

Shares of the enterprise software giant fell 4.14% on Wednesday to $173.86, extending a difficult stretch for CRM investors despite a wave of corporate announcements that would typically be enough to stabilize or lift a stock. A massive buyback program, a raised dividend and a high-profile technology partnership have done little to slow the selling pressure that has come to define the stock’s recent price action.


A $25B buyback that isn’t moving the needle

On April 22, Salesforce‘s board authorized a $25 billion stock repurchase program and raised its quarterly dividend to $0.44 per share — a clear signal from management that it views the current share price as undervalued and is committed to returning capital to shareholders.

The company also announced an expanded partnership with Google Cloud aimed at developing artificial intelligence agents for workflow automation, with integrations planned across Slack and Google Workspace. Salesforce’s Agentforce platform, which sits at the center of the company’s AI ambitions, recorded an annual recurring revenue figure of $800 million, a number that reflects genuine commercial traction in a competitive market.

Institutional interest has not disappeared either. Montaka Global Investments confirmed it holds Salesforce in its portfolio, while M&T Bank Corp and WestEnd Advisors both reported increased stakes in the company. On any other day, that combination of news might have been enough to generate a meaningful rally.

Instead, shares opened lower and hovered near the session low of $172.21 after gapping down from $181.36 at the previous close.

What the technicals are saying

The picture painted by the charts is consistently negative across every major timeframe. CRM is currently trading below its 3 key moving averages — the 20-day simple moving average at $180.59, the 50-day at $187.58 and the 200-day at $231.46 — a formation that technical analysts typically interpret as a sign of entrenched downward momentum rather than a temporary pullback.

The Ichimoku Kijun level on the daily chart sits at $182.98, a level that represents the most immediate and significant resistance the stock needs to clear before any meaningful recovery can take hold. Until that happens, technicians will continue to view any bounce as likely to run out of steam.

Momentum indicators reinforce the bearish picture. The MACD is generating a strong sell signal, the Stochastic RSI is also pointing firmly lower and the Relative Strength Index sits at 47.26 on the daily chart and 38.65 on the weekly — weak readings that do not yet indicate the stock is oversold, meaning there is no technical floor in place to support a reversal at current levels. The ADX reads neutral on the daily timeframe but shifts to a sell signal on the weekly, reflecting deteriorating trend strength over a longer horizon.

The expected trading range over the next five sessions sits between $170.00 and $177.00. Analysts watching the stock closely warn that a break below $170.00 would be a particularly troubling development, opening the door to a deeper pullback with limited technical support beneath that level.

What needs to happen for CRM to recover

The path back for Salesforce stock runs directly through that $182.98 resistance level. A sustained move above that threshold would shift the short-term narrative and give bulls a foothold to push toward the upper end of the weekly range. Without it, the stock remains trapped in a pattern where positive fundamental news is failing to override the technical damage that has accumulated over recent months.

Over the past year, CRM shares have declined more than 32%, a performance that puts the current buyback authorization in sobering context. The company is spending aggressively to support its stock price at the same time that investors appear to be repricing expectations around the pace and profitability of its AI-driven growth strategy.

Whether the Google Cloud partnership and Agentforce momentum can eventually translate that into a durable earnings story remains the central question for Salesforce investors heading into the second half of the year.

Source: Traders Union (Jainam Mehta)

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